UMBC
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 92.0535Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 12- 7 228 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4- 3 228 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 10- 9 301 A Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 0- 5 313 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 9-10 314 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 14- 3 315 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 3- 4 407 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 0-11 414 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 9 421 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 5 512 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 8- 9 521 H Maine AE ( 6-12, 93.1) 4- 5 521 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 9- 0 522 H Maine AE ( 6-12, 93.1) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Georgetown 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.74
228 H Monmouth 4- 3 1 0 1.35
228 H Monmouth 10- 9 1 0 1.35
301 A Lafayette 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.74
313 A Florida Atlantic 9-10 -1 -2 1.37
314 A Florida Atlantic 14- 3 11 -2 +++ 13.37
315 A Florida Atlantic 3- 4 -1 -2 1.37
407 H Maryland 0-11 -11 -2 --- -8.94
414 H Georgetown 3- 9 -6 2 --- -7.61
421 H Towson 6- 5 1 2 -0.55
512 A Towson 8- 9 -1 0 -1.20
521 H Maine 4- 5 -1 0 -0.65
521 H Massachusetts at Lowe 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.79
522 H Maine 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.65
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Lafayette 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.74 407 H Maryland 0-11 -11 -2 --- -8.94 414 H Georgetown 3- 9 -6 2 --- -7.61 522 H Maine 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Florida Atlantic 14- 3 11 -2 +++ 13.37 521 H Massachusetts at Lowe 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.79 225 A Georgetown 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 12- 7 -8.78 9.65 0.68 2.07 42.65
0 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 4- 3 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 2.07 45.15
0 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 10- 9 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 2.07 45.15
0 A Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 0- 5 -10.26 8.16 0.68 2.07 -9.90
0 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 9-10 -6.15 12.28 0.68 2.07 -5.65
0 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 14- 3 -6.15 12.28 0.68 2.07 53.52
0 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 3- 4 -6.15 12.28 0.68 2.07 -5.65
0 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 0-11 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 2.07 -5.98
0 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 9 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 2.07 -9.77
0 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 6- 5 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 2.07 37.30
0 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 8- 9 -8.72 9.70 0.68 2.07 -8.31
0 H Maine ( 6-12, 93.1) 4- 5 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 2.07 -7.75
0 H Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 9- 0 -9.38 9.04 -0.68 2.07 34.57
0 H Maine ( 6-12, 93.1) 6-11 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 2.07 -7.75
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197.58
|
winning pts = 258.3408 losing points = -60.7567
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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